Opinion poll analysis site FiveThirtyEight gives the Trafalgar group a grade of A- when it comes to poll accuracy. (Wikicommons) Aretha Franklin, 1968. A poll commissioned by KOB-TV showed Lujan Grisham with a 7-point lead, or 46 percent to 39 percent. The poll of 806 likely voters was conducted by Public Policy Polling on Oct. 6 and 7 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 points. Invalid password or account does not exist. (Arizona News Connection) Arizona Secretary of State Adrian Fontes said nonpartisan voters are and will become increasingly important for the Grand Canyon State, but he also worries about the state's political climate. New Mexico's best political reporting. Mark Ronchetti is outstanding, the former Republican president wrote. 6. NEW MEXICO (KRQE) - Democratic incumbent Michelle Lujan Grisham has won New Mexico's governor race. In this case, we happen to have a female Hispanic candidate, too, which might amplify that.. This is an increase in the gap between the two top contenders from a June NM Political Report poll which showed Lujan Grisham leading with 45 percent of supporters to 42 percent for Ronchetti and 9 percent for Bedonie. New Mexico Gov. Bedonie lost in the 2020 3rd Congressional District Republican primary. Democrats have consolidated control over all three branches of state government since Lujan Grisham succeeded a termed-out Republican governor, including commanding majorities in the Legislature. Ronchetti, meanwhile, leads among Trump voters 88 percent to 8 percent for Bedonie and 1 percent for Lujan Grisham. Ronchetti has a slight lead among other parties and independents, with 39 percent backing the challenger, to 36 percent for Lujan Grisham and 14 percent for Bedonie. In the Sanderoff poll, Lujan Grisham is faring better among voters in north-central New Mexico, a Democratic stronghold that includes Santa Fe, Taos and Rio Arriba County. The seat has flipped between parties in the last two elections. Legal Statement. Email notifications are only sent once a day, and only if there are new matching items. As of Oct. 24, New Mexico voters have requested 94,524 absentee ballots and 23,450 have been returned. Adeful (Libertarian) NM Political Report (https://nmpoliticalreport.com/2022/06/20/poll-lujan-grisham-with-narrow-lead-at-start-of-general-election/). The state or county must start the recount within ten days of the request. The poll of likely voters in New Mexico shows Grisham receiving 48 percent support compared to Ronchetti's 43 percent when respondents were asked Show Transcript. Republicans have held the office only three times in the states 110-year history. However, GOP gains in 2022 are not a given. All votes were tallied by 7:30 p.m. Thursday. In the 2020 general election, nearly 85% of voters cast ballots prior to Election Day. Poll: Half Of Americans Financially Affected By Coronavirus Michelle Lujan Grisham holds a narrow lead over Republican nominee Mark Ronchetti at the start of the general election campaign. AP will tabulate and declare winners in 55 contested elections in New Mexico, including Governor, three U.S. House races, seven other statewide races and six statewide ballot issues. This means the elections officials make sure the ballot is cast legally. We just dont know the first name. Find your local elections. Voters can cast a ballot in person on Election Day, though that is a minority of voters overall. By Margaret O'Hara, The Santa Fe New Mexican Students from Jos Eduardo Cervantes' third-grade class at Bernalillo Elementary School are in agreement: It's good to be bilingual. Among men, the race is actually a tie between Michelle Lujan Grisham and Mark Ronchetti and so women are making a difference, trusted pollster Brian Sanderoff, whose New Mexico-based firm conducted the Albuquerque Journal poll, said Monday. Championship 1A District 2) Cheyenne Wells 42 vs Granada 51 (3 rd Place 1A District 2) Cheraw 34 vs McClave 62; Championship 1A District 3) La Veta 48 vs Springfield 50 (Championship 1A District 5) Otis 58 vs Stratton 71 (Championship 2A District 6) Crowley County 50 vs Holly 27 (3 rd Place 2A District 6) Hoehne 34 vs Fowler 51 (Championship 2A District 8) Simla 50 vs Limon 48 Si vous ne souhaitez pas que nos partenaires et nousmmes utilisions des cookies et vos donnes personnelles pour ces motifs supplmentaires, cliquez sur Refuser tout. Based on their survey, they put Ronchetti in the lead with 46% of the vote compared to 45% for Gov. You have permission to edit this article. We have election results for the race for the open seat in new mexico's 1st congressional district. By Susan Dunne. All rights reserved. April 23, 2021 - New Mexico's next gubernatorial election is a year and a half away - not a long time when it comes to political campaigning. 2023 FOX News Network, LLC. 45 votes. Michelle Lujan Grisham holds a narrow lead over Republican nominee Mark Ronchetti at the start of the general election campaign. See election results, a county-by-county map and more for the New Mexico Governor election on Nov. 8, 2022. For more information, visit cnn.com/election. Related: See Michelle Lujan Grishams approval rating. View New Mexico's election results and maps for the 2022 midterm elections. President Joe Biden had a 10 percentage point margin of victory in 2020, and the state voted for the Democratic candidate in seven of the last eight elections in 2004, George W. Bush won the state by a slim margin of less than 1% of the vote. Some think not. All Rights Reserved. ET. Democrats 36 seats not up for election. Incumbent Democratic Secretary of State Maggie Toulouse Oliver is running against first-time candidate Audrey Trujillo, a Republican allied with a coalition that seeks large-scale changes to elections administration. All rights reserved. Quotes displayed in real-time or delayed by at least 15 minutes. During Lujan Grisham's term as governor, New Mexico's crime has surged leaving the state with the second highest crime rate and 13th-highest homicide mortality rate nationwide in 2020, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention data showed. Absentee ballots are counted once polls close on Election Day. The states COVID-19 public health emergency will come to an end at the end of March, a little more than three years after the governor first issued her executive order over the deadly respiratory illness. A bill that would allow people who purchase fishing or hunting licenses to round up to the nearest dollar to fund youth programs unanimously passed the state Senate on Friday. Notice any bugs or missing polls? RT @LawlYayman1: Do you approve of my time as Governor & Senator of New Mexico in @IMESims? Check out what's clicking on Foxnews.com. New Mexico. Should a candidate declare victory or offer a concession before the AP calls a race, we will cover newsworthy developments in our reporting. A new poll commissioned by NM Political Report shows that incumbent Gov. A bill that would require new homes to be built with the capability to charge electric vehicles and would require contractors to offer solar arrays for new homes passed the House Energy, Environment and Natural Resources Committee on a 7-4 vote on Thursday. According to the Albuquerque Journal, Grisham raised in excess of $11.1 million, as of October 3. He was the Republican nominee for US Senate in 2020, and was defeated by Sen. Ben Ray Lujn, then-incumbent representativeforNew Mexico's 3rd Congressional District. . Michelle Lujan Grisham in her race for reelection this year, according to a recent internal polling memo. New Mexico's 3rd District. Michelle Lujan Grisham won re-election on Tuesday, defeating will defeat GOP candidate and local news weatherman Mark Ronchetti. Michelle Lujan Grisham (D) is leading Republican contender Mark Ronchetti by 5 percentage points in New Mexico's gubernatorial race, according to a new Emerson College Polling-The Hill survey released on Wednesday. Unofficial Results From The New Mexico Secretary Of State's Office. Heres a look at what to expect on election night: Polls close at 7 p.m. local time (9 p.m. We know that the next New Mexico treasurer will be named Montoya. The states COVID-19 public health emergency will come to an end at the end of March, a little more than three years after the governor first issued her executive order over the deadly respiratory illness. L Three first-term congresswomen are seeking reelection as New Mexicos House delegation in newly redrawn districts that divvy up the politically conservative southeastern corner of the state a premier U.S. production zone for petroleum. I suspect the race will narrow a little.. While were still seeing COVID cases, our preparedness and collaborative work have helped turn a once-in-a-century public health emergency into a manageable situation, Lujan Grisham said in a statement on Friday. Updated: November 9, 2022 - 4:35 PM. Ronchetti, a former meteorologist, won a five-way Republican primary easily earlier this month, while Lujan Grisham was unopposed. Design and development by Ryan Best, Aaron Bycoffe, Christopher Groskopf, Ritchie King, Ella Koeze, Dhrumil Mehta, Jasmine Mithani, Mary Radcliffe, Anna Wiederkehr and Julia Wolfe. While were still seeing COVID cases, our preparedness and collaborative work have helped turn a once-in-a-century public health emergency into a manageable situation, Lujan Grisham said in a statement on Friday. 2020 New Mexico State House - District 21 Election Results. The poll by Public Policy Polling shows Lujan Grisham leads Ronchetti 45 percent to 42 percent, with Libertarian Karen Bedonie receiving 9 percent and 5 percent saying theyre not sure. Search our Site: Search for Your Local Elected Officials: News . A handful of governors were on the ballot in 2019, 2020 and 2021, but the bulk of the nation's chief executives get elected in midterm years. 100% Reporting *Incumbent. By Robert Nott, The Santa Fe New Mexican When it comes to school lunches, Alejandro Najera laid it out straight for the lawmakers. Based on that, Real Clear Politics puts Gov. SANTA FE, N.M. (AP) New Mexico's 2022 election landscape is coming into focus as registration day arrives for primary contestants to pursue major-party nominations. By noon Wednesday, the day after Election Day, more than 98% of all votes were counted in 2020. Johnson, who tried to run for Michigan governor . Republican candidate Mark Ronchetti is running against Democratic incumbent Gov. Democratic incumbents are viewed as safe in the states central and northern districts. as well as other partner offers and accept our. Stay up to date with what you want to know. With 23 days before the November election, New Mexico Democrats held a rally with Planned Parenthood and NARAL Pro-Choice America national leaders in Las Cruces on Saturday to discuss the importance of abortion rights. Public Policy Polling called landlines and text messaged those without landlines. Toss-up. Before joining Congress, Grisham was a member of the Bernalillo County Commission and also served as head of New Mexico's State Department of Health from 2004 to 2007 under Gov. Recent polling had the New Mexico governor's race tight in the last few weeks. Lujan Grisham, a former congresswoman, won 57% of the vote for governor in 2018 a margin of 14 percentage points. 2022 governor's race, according to poll results . Si vous souhaitez personnaliser vos choix, cliquez sur Grer les paramtres de confidentialit. Legal Statement. HB 207, Expand the Human Rights Act Scope, is sponsored by state Rep. Kristina Ortez, D-Taos. 21 Jan 2022 0. Lujan Grisham has also done a better job locking down her party, with 81 percent of Democrats backing the incumbent, while 14 percent back Ronchetti and 1 percent support Bedonie. Polling in the fiercely competitive and closely watched race for governor of New Mexico is starting to feel like a yo-yo. 2016 United States Presidential Election In New Mexico - Encyclopedia Information. Senate. If youre undecided at this point, I think youre less likely to be voting for the incumbent, Sanderoff said. Mutual Fund and ETF data provided by Refinitiv Lipper. Michelle Lujan Grisham is running against Mark Ronchetti. New Hampshire. The last time the president's party won New Mexico's governor's race was in 1986. Ronchettis camp framed Mondays poll as good news after weekend polls that had the challenger significantly behind.